10/21/2013
MON
Potash
Corporation NYSE POT
Close
Friday 10/18/2013
32.14
Pot has been in a downtrend after topping out at
63.97 in mid-February of 2011 falling to a low of 28.55 in early September ,stopping
short of the of the 2010 lows of 27.80 the stock looks like it has started to
base and is trying to rally to fill the gap on the daily charts at 36 level.
Support 31.05*
28.55/ 27.85** 15.75***
Resistance 32.86** 34.85* 36.80** 41.95***
Earnings est. .41 due out on 10/24/13 before the open
Current Qtr Next Qtr Current YR Next Yr
Average Estimate
|
0.41
|
0.49
|
2.40
|
2.35
|
There is a slight vol advantage in buying the Dec options
and selling the Jan and mar options essentially creating a double call diagonal
which is simply a variation of the regular butterfly.
Buy Dec 32 c Sell Jan 36 c Sell Mar 36 c Buy Dec 40
c +1/-1/-1/+1
IV Dec
27.00 Jan 28.60 Mar
29.80
Avg daily volume 6,135,000
Should be a descent performer despite the poor
earnings reports we have seen as of late.
*Disclaimer: This is not a recommendation. All
trading entails risk. Anyone employing any strategies and having limited
knowledge of options trading should consult with a FINRA licensed professional.
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