10/16/2013 WED
United Technologies Corp. NYSE: UTX 105.80
Anticipated EPS is around 1.53 down from last
quarter but well ahead of last year
UTX has been one of the leaders in the Dow Jones Transports
and is trading at a slightly high P/E ratio of 19.5 times earnings. I would
like to see the stock rally into the $107.50 to $108.50 and look at the Jan
100p/85p +1/-1 for around 1.75 debit or
better. This gives the time for a pullback going into the New Year. Even the
May Monthly options are a decent speculation at the same volatility levels
which is at a 5% discount to the front month options. It has also had a run
from the Lo of $37.40 in Mar of 2009 through Sept of this year topping at
$112.46. Time and low volatility on a stock that has had a roughly 300%
increase present an interesting opportunity on one of the Transport’s top
performers.
$175/$1,325.00 Risk /Reward
IV 24.6% in January Monthly options
Open Int.
(est.) strike Jan
14 Monthly (212)
75 1,700
77.5 875
80 2,250
82.5 1,025
85 3,100
87.5 1,800
90 4,600
92.5 1,970
95 3,050
97.5 1,650
100 7,600
105 9,530
110
5,460
115 2,200
|
Fiscal
Quarter End |
Date
Reported |
Earnings
Per Share |
Consensus
EPS* Forecast |
|
|
Jun2013
|
07/23/2013
|
1.65
|
1.56
|
|
|
Mar2013
|
04/23/2013
|
1.28
|
1.3
|
|
|
Dec2012
|
01/23/2013
|
1.29
|
1.02
|
|
|
Sep2012
|
10/23/2012
|
1.37
|
1.17
|
*Disclaimer: This is not a recommendation. All
trading entails risk. Anyone employing any strategies and having limited
knowledge of options trading should consult with a FINRA licensed professional.
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