Tuesday, October 15, 2013

10/16/2013   WED
 United Technologies Corp.                          NYSE: UTX             105.80

Anticipated EPS is around 1.53 down from last quarter but well ahead of last year
UTX has been one of the leaders in the Dow Jones Transports and is trading at a slightly high P/E ratio of 19.5 times earnings. I would like to see the stock rally into the $107.50 to $108.50 and look at the Jan 100p/85p  +1/-1 for around 1.75 debit or better. This gives the time for a pullback going into the New Year. Even the May Monthly options are a decent speculation at the same volatility levels which is at a 5% discount to the front month options. It has also had a run from the Lo of $37.40 in Mar of 2009 through Sept of this year topping at $112.46. Time and low volatility on a stock that has had a roughly 300% increase present an interesting opportunity on one of the Transport’s top performers.
$175/$1,325.00 Risk /Reward
IV 24.6% in January Monthly options
Open Int. (est.)                strike         Jan 14 Monthly (212)
75                              1,700
77.5                              875
80                              2,250
82.5                          1,025
85                              3,100
87.5                          1,800
90                              4,600
92.5                          1,970
95                              3,050
97.5                          1,650
100                           7,600
105                          9,530
110                          5,460
115                          2,200


Fiscal
Quarter End
Date
Reported
Earnings
Per Share
Consensus
EPS* Forecast
Jun2013
07/23/2013
1.65
1.56
Mar2013
04/23/2013
1.28
1.3
Dec2012
01/23/2013
1.29
1.02
Sep2012
10/23/2012
1.37
1.17




*Disclaimer: This is not a recommendation. All trading entails risk. Anyone employing any strategies and having limited knowledge of options trading should consult with a FINRA licensed professional.

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